BETTING GUIDE: Who are the favourites as F1 heads to Sao Paulo for another Sprint weekend?

As the final stop of a triple header sequence, the F1 paddock heads to Brazil for the Sao Paulo Grand Prix. The Autodromo Jose Carlos Pace has delivered many exciting moments over the years – and there is double the action in store this weekend as the Sprint returns for its penultimate appearance of the season. Can Ferrari continue their winning form, or will McLaren or Red Bull be able to break the Scuderia’s victory streak?

188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.

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The odds for the win

Lando Norris has not stood on the top step of the rostrum for the last two rounds, with that honour instead going to Ferrari’s Charles Leclerc and Carlos Sainz respectively. Despite this, the odds suggest that the McLaren man is most likely to win this weekend in Sao Paulo.

Leclerc and Sainz are not far behind, while Max Verstappen has slightly more distant odds. The Dutchman has not claimed a Grand Prix victory since June, but he may take heart from the return of the Sprint given that he has won every event in the format so far in 2024.

• Lando Norris 3.30
• Charles Leclerc 3.50
• Carlos Sainz 4.00
• Max Verstappen 8.00
• Oscar Piastri 9.00
• George Russell 23.0
• Sergio Perez 101
• Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg 301
• Alex Albon, Esteban Ocon, Fernando Alonso, Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Lewis Hamilton, Liam Lawson, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Second placed Lando Norris of Great Britain and McLaren attends — Will Norris return to the top step of the podium in Sao Paulo?

The odds for who will be fastest in Sprint Qualifying

Norris is again the favourite to set the pace in Friday’s Sprint Qualifying session, with the Ferrari duo of Sainz and Leclerc also deemed his closest challengers in this category.

Verstappen finds himself on equal odds with Oscar Piastri, who will be hoping to bounce back following a tough weekend last time out in Mexico which saw him exit qualifying in Q1 and line up down in 17th on the grid.

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• Lando Norris 2.85
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 5.00
• Max Verstappen, Oscar Piastri 6.00
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 17.0
• Nico Hulkenberg, Sergio Perez 101
• Kevin Magnussen 151
• Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso, Liam Lawson 251
• Esteban Ocon, Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Oscar Piastri of Australia driving the (81) McLaren MCL38 — Piastri will be hoping for a better qualifying performance this weekend following his Q1 exit in Mexico

The odds for a podium finish

While Norris, Leclerc, Sainz, Piastri and Verstappen are deemed most likely to score a podium in Brazil, two other drivers also thought to be in with a chance – albeit a slightly lesser one – are the Mercedes pairing of George Russell and Lewis Hamilton.

The Silver Arrows’ last rostrum was via Russell’s third place in Azerbaijan and, with the Briton having suffered a heavy crash during both previous rounds in the triple header, the team will be hoping for a better weekend this time around.

• Lando Norris 1.30
• Charles Leclerc 1.40
• Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri 2.20
• Max Verstappen 2.55
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 5.50
• Sergio Perez 21.0
• Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg 41.0
• Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso, Yuki Tsunoda 101
• Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson 251
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 401

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Race winner Carlos Sainz of Spain and Ferrari, Second placed — Sainz was joined by his team mates of past and present on the podium following his victory in the Mexico City Grand Prix

The odds for a top-six finish

In terms of which other names could sneak into the top six in Sao Paulo, Sergio Perez has the lowest odds of drivers from the leading four teams. With speculation continuing over his future following a tough weekend in Mexico, the Red Bull driver is in need of a strong result.

Other candidates rated as having a favourable chance of finishing sixth or higher include the Haas duo of Nico Hulkenberg and Kevin Magnussen, who both took home points for the American outfit one week ago.

• Lando Norris 1.07
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 1.08
• Oscar Piastri 1.12
• Max Verstappen 1.30
• George Russell 1.35
• Lewis Hamilton 1.45
• Sergio Perez 2.75
• Nico Hulkenberg 6.00
• Kevin Magnussen 8.00
• Fernando Alonso 10.0
• Alex Albon 13.0
• Yuki Tsunoda 15.0
• Franco Colapinto 19.0
• Liam Lawson 21.0
• Lance Stroll, Pierre Gasly 29.0
• Esteban Ocon 41.0
• Valtteri Bottas 51.0
• Zhou Guanyu 101

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Kevin Magnussen of Denmark driving the (20) Haas F1 VF-24 Ferrari — Haas are now 10 points clear of nearest challengers RB in sixth place of the constructors' standings

The odds for a points finish

Who else could potentially score points at Interlagos? Alex Albon and Fernando Alonso each suffered an early retirement last time out in Mexico, but both drivers have favourable odds for taking a top-10 finish this weekend.

Also in with a shot are RB’s Yuki Tsunoda and Albon’s Williams team mate Franco Colapinto.

• Lando Norris 1.06
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 1.07
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Max Verstappen, Oscar Piastri 1.08
• Sergio Perez 1.18
• Nico Hulkenberg 1.60
• Kevin Magnussen 1.70
• Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso 1.90
• Yuki Tsunoda 2.35
• Franco Colapinto 3.75
• Liam Lawson 4.00
• Lance Stroll 6.00
• Pierre Gasly 7.00
• Esteban Ocon 9.00
• Valtteri Bottas 26.0
• Zhou Guanyu 67.0

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Fernando Alonso of Spain and Aston Martin F1 Team waves to the — Alonso missed out on scoring points during his 400th Grand Prix weekend in Mexico

The odds for fastest lap

Leclerc took home an additional point for setting the fastest lap of the Mexico City Grand Prix, the Ferrari driver having made a late pit stop to bolt on the soft tyre.

Will the Monegasque repeat the feat this time around? Well, the odds suggest he is second favourite to do so, with Norris deemed as the most likely to claim the accolade – and, given that he has just four races left in his championship fight with Verstappen, that point could prove crucial for the Briton.

• Lando Norris 3.00
• Charles Leclerc 4.30
• Carlos Sainz, Max Verstappen 6.00
• Oscar Piastri 13.0
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, 15.0
• Sergio Perez 23.0
• Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso, Franco Colapinto, Liam Lawson, Yuki Tsunoda 51.0
• Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg 101
• Lance Stroll 151
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: Charles Leclerc of Monaco driving the (16) Ferrari SF-24 on track — Will Leclerc again claim the fastest lap of the race and earn an additional point?

What are the odds for which team will take the most points?

Given their impressive form of late – which has seen them move up into second place of the constructors’ standings, just 29 points adrift of leaders McLaren – Ferrari are the favourites to score the biggest haul of points in Sao Paulo.

Red Bull have slipped backwards in the odds, while Mercedes are also a slightly more distant fourth favourite.

• Ferrari 1.90
• McLaren 2.44
• Red Bull 8.00
• Mercedes 10.0
• Haas 101
• Alpine, Aston Martin, Visa Cash App RB, Sauber, Williams 201

The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race

There was an early appearance from the Safety Car one week ago in Mexico following a first-lap collision between Albon and Tsunoda. Will it again be needed at Interlagos?

• Yes 1.30
• No 3.25

MEXICO CITY, MEXICO - OCTOBER 27: The FIA Safety Car leads Max Verstappen of the Netherlands — The Safety Car made an appearance during the opening stages of the Mexico City Grand Prix

The odds for number of classified drivers

Three drivers failed to make it to the finish last weekend but reliability has generally been strong throughout the season. As such, the odds suggest that most of the field will see the chequered flag in Brazil – but the addition of the Sprint could potentially have an influence on that…

• Over 17.5 1.25
• Under 17.5 3.75
• Over 18.5 1.90
• Under 18.5 1.80

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The odds for the winning margin

Sainz took victory with a margin of 4.705s from Norris in Mexico, while Leclerc’s lead stood at 8.562s when he won the United States Grand Prix. It will be fascinating to see if this weekend’s winner takes P1 with a decent gap – or if it proves to be a battle to the line.

• Over 10 seconds 2.50
• Between 5 and 10 seconds inclusive 3.25
• Under 5 seconds 2.50