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BETTING GUIDE: Who are the favourites as F1 returns to action in Zandvoort?
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With the summer break now over, the F1 teams and drivers are raring to go again as the season resumes at the Dutch Grand Prix. Max Verstappen has claimed victory at his home event in each year since its 2021 return to the calendar, but do the odds favour the Red Bull driver this time around, or will his rivals have the upper hand?
188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.
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The odds for the win
While Verstappen has often led the way in this category, the picture has changed as the season has developed; seven different drivers claimed a win across the first 14 races, meaning that predicting who will clinch P1 each weekend has become more of a challenge.
However, given his impressive run of consecutive victories at Zandvoort during the last three years, the odds favour Verstappen to continue this streak. The reigning world champion will be keen to return to the top spot after not taking a win since the Spanish Grand Prix in June, while Lando Norris is also tipped to be in with a high chance of sealing his second F1 victory.
• Max Verstappen 2.70
• Lando Norris 2.85
• Oscar Piastri 6.00
• Lewis Hamilton 10.0
• George Russell 12.0
• Charles Leclerc 21.0
• Carlos Sainz 34.0
• Sergio Perez 41.0
• Daniel Ricciardo 101
• Fernando Alonso 401
• Nico Hulkenberg, Yuki Tsunoda 501
• Alex Albon, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll, Logan Sargeant, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 601
Can Verstappen get back on the top step of the podium in front of his home fans?
The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying
Verstappen scored his first pole position since Round 11 in Austria last time out at Spa-Francorchamps, but an engine penalty saw him take a 10-place grid drop, meaning that he started from P11. The Dutchman is favourite to claim P1 on the grid again this weekend, with his odds equal to that of Norris, who was the pole-sitter at the penultimate round before the summer break in Hungary.
With increasingly fine margins amongst the field, some other names could be in contention. Norris’ McLaren team mate Oscar Piastri is in the mix, while the Mercedes pair of Lewis Hamilton and George Russell could also pose a challenge following their good run of form recently.
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• Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 2.60
• Oscar Piastri 5.00
• Charles Leclerc, George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 15.00
• Carlos Sainz, Sergio Perez 34.0
• Daniel Ricciardo, Fernando Alonso 67.0
• Nico Hulkenberg 101
• Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll 201
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly, Yuki Tsunoda 251
• Logan Sargeant, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 501
Piastri and Norris both have good odds for being in the fight to take pole position
The odds for a podium finish
Despite both missing out on a top-three finish in Belgium, Verstappen and Norris again have the best odds when it comes to who will stand on the podium at Zandvoort.
Piastri, Hamilton and Russell – who all finished within the leading three positions at Spa-Francorchamps before Russell’s subsequent disqualification, which promoted Leclerc – are also in with a decent shout, while Ferrari’s Carlos Sainz and the Red Bull of Sergio Perez have slightly more distant odds.
READ MORE: The candidates who could unseat Verstappen and Red Bull in the final 10 races of 2024
• Max Verstappen 1.25
• Lando Norris 1.28
• Oscar Piastri 1.61
• Lewis Hamilton 2.20
• George Russell 2.25
• Charles Leclerc 8.00
• Carlos Sainz 10.00
• Sergio Perez 15.0
• Daniel Ricciardo 21.0
• Fernando Alonso 67.0
• Yuki Tsunoda 101
• Lance Stroll, Nico Hulkenberg 151
• Esteban Ocon 251
• Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Logan Sargeant, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 301
Hamilton has stood on the podium at four of the last five races
The odds for a top-six finish
It’s the usual suspects from the leading four teams who have the best odds for a top-six finish, but who else could potentially squeeze their way in should the day go in their favour? Fernando Alonso is the favourite to do so, with the Aston Martin driver having returned to the points last time out at Spa.
The next most likely candidate is Nico Hulkenberg. While Haas faced two challenging rounds in Hungary and Belgium, Hulkenberg scored P6 finishes prior to that in Austria and Great Britain.
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• Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.08
• Oscar Piastri 1.12
• Lewis Hamilton 1.15
• George Russell 1.20
• Charles Leclerc 1.44
• Carlos Sainz 1.55
• Sergio Perez 1.65
• Fernando Alonso 6.50
• Nico Hulkenberg 11.0
• Lance Stroll 13.0
• Alex Albon, Daniel Ricciardo, Kevin Magnussen, Yuki Tsunoda 21.0
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 26.0
• Logan Sargeant, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 51.0
Could Alonso grab some decent points for Aston Martin at Zandvoort?
The odds for a points finish
In terms of who else could take home points in the Netherlands with a top-10 result, Lance Stroll is rated as having a chance after just missing out in Belgium. The Aston Martin driver did, however, add to the team’s tally in Great Britain and Hungary.
The RB duo of Daniel Ricciardo and Yuki Tsunoda are also worth keeping an eye on as the squad look to hold onto P6 in the constructors’ standings, where they currently sit on 34 points with just a seven-point advantage over Haas in P7.
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• Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.05
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri 1.06
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 1.07
• Sergio Perez 1.08
• Fernando Alonso 1.50
• Lance Stroll, Nico Hulkenberg 2.00
• Daniel Ricciardo, Yuki Tsunoda 3.00
• Alex Albon 3.25
• Kevin Magnussen 3.50
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 5.00
• Valtteri Bottas 15.0
• Logan Sargeant 21.0
• Zhou Guanyu 23.0
Ricciardo and Tsunoda will be hoping to keep RB ahead of Haas in the constructors' standings
The odds for fastest lap
After what has been a difficult run of races, Perez did at least score an additional point for setting the fastest lap of the race at the Belgian Grand Prix.
It is his team mate Verstappen who has the best odds of doing so this weekend, but – given the importance of every single point in an increasingly competitive field – it will be fascinating to see who takes this bonus in Zandvoort.
• Max Verstappen 2.75
• Lando Norris 3.00
• Oscar Piastri 9.00
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 10.0
• Sergio Perez 13.0
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc 15.0
• Fernando Alonso 34.0
• Daniel Ricciardo, Lance Stroll 101
• Alex Albon, Esteban Ocon, Kevin Magnussen, Logan Sargeant, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 251
Perez scored an additional point for setting the fastest lap of the Belgian Grand Prix
What are the odds for which team will take the most points?
After a consistently strong run from both drivers during the first half of the season, McLaren have put themselves firmly in the constructors’ championship battle, having now closed the deficit to Red Bull to just 42 points.
As such, the Woking outfit are favourites to take the biggest points haul this weekend, while Red Bull will be looking to get Perez back in the fight at the front in order to boost their chances of staying ahead in the teams’ standings.
• McLaren 2.00
• Red Bull 2.50
• Mercedes 5.50
• Ferrari 12.0
• RB 67.0
• Aston Martin 151
• Haas 201
• Alpine, Kick Sauber, Williams 301
The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race
Back in 2023, the Dutch Grand Prix proved to be a dramatic affair thanks to the changing weather conditions that played out at Zandvoort. The Safety Car made two appearances during the eventful race, and the odds suggest that it could feature again this time around.
• Yes 1.53
• No 2.34
The Safety Car featured in the 2023 Dutch Grand Prix amid changing weather conditions
The odds for number of classified drivers
Reliability has continued to be strong across the field in 2024. There was just one retirement last time out in Belgium, with Zhou Guanyu’s race over after only a few laps following a hydraulic issue for the Kick Sauber.
Russell, meanwhile, was later disqualified from the results due to his car being underweight, meaning that the final classification featured 18 drivers. Can the majority of the pack make it to the finish line this weekend?
• Over 18.5 1.57
• Under 18.5 2.25
• Over 19.5 3.00
• Under 19.5 1.36
READ MORE: What is the weather forecast for the 2024 Dutch Grand Prix?
The odds for a winning margin
This category is another that has seen some big changes as the year has progressed, with the margins becoming ever finer. Hamilton was just half a second behind Russell when they crossed the line at Spa – prior to Russell’s disqualification – while Piastri was only 1.173s behind the leader. Will there be another thrillingly close finish at Zandvoort?
• Over 10 seconds 3.40
• Between 5 and 10 seconds inclusive 4.00
• Under 5 seconds 1.65
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