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BETTING GUIDE: Who are the favourites to end their season on a high in Abu Dhabi?
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It’s finally time for the last race of the season, Abu Dhabi playing host to Round 24 of the season. But who is going to emerge triumphant? Max Verstappen has long since sealed the drivers’ title, but the constructors’ is up for grabs – with McLaren and Ferrari the two teams in contention. But do the odds favour the men in papaya, or those in red?
188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.
The odds for the win
Max Verstappen won last time out in Qatar, his first Grand prix victory in the dry since Spain. That puts Red Bull firmly back in contention for the win this weekend, now they have seemingly unlocked a set-up that works for them.
Lando Norris is joint favourite, despite not having won a Grand prix now since Singapore. He did do well in the last two Sprint events though, and would love to close his season out on a high.
• Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 3.30
• Charles Leclerc 6.50
• George Russell, Oscar Piastri 9.00
• Lewis Hamilton 10.0
• Carlos Sainz 11.0
• Sergio Perez 301
• Jack Doohan, Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso, Franco Colapinto, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601
Verstappen is chasing a fifth straight win here having ended the season on a high in Abu Dhabi for the last four years
The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying
Norris pips Verstappen when it comes to qualifying, that McLaren much more predictable over one lap than its Red Bull counterpart. Charles Leclerc’s Ferrari is third favourite, the Monegasque driver a proven performer over one lap.
George Russell has had a string of strong qualifying results of late too, including pole position last time out in Qatar – albeit an inherited one thanks to Verstappen’s grid penalty. As for Lewis Hamilton, his one-lap pace has been erratic this season, but he’d love to go out with a bang in his last qualifying with Mercedes.
• Lando Norris 3.25
• Max Verstappen 3.50
• Charles Leclerc 4.35
• George Russell 8.00
• Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri 10.0
• Lewis Hamilton 17.0
• Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly 151
• Sergio Perez 201
• Fernando Alonso 301
• Alex Albon 401
• Jack Doohan, Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601
The odds for a podium finish
After Alpine’s twin feat in Brazil, the rostrum has seen a return of the big teams occupying the top three spots. There is little to choose between them in the odds as well, with the experts split on exactly who this track might suit.
Norris is chasing a win - which would secure the constructors' for McLaren
Sergio Perez would love to be in the mix, the Mexican without a podium since China. He’s been under varying amounts of pressure ever since, so to finish the season on the rostrum would be a real feather in his cap.
• Lando Norris 1.35
• Max Verstappen 1.45
• Charles Leclerc 1.65
• George Russell 1.85
• Carlos Sainz, Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri 3.75
• Sergio Perez 26.0
• Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly 67.0
• Fernando Alonso, Kevin Magnussen 101
• Alex Albon, Yuki Tsunoda 151
• Liam Lawson 201
• Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 251
The odds for a top-six finish
Haas would ideally need a car in the top six on Sunday if they want to overhaul Alpine in the constructors’. They are five points behind, so need to score six – which is the equivalent of seventh place. But given Pierre Gasly’s strong form, Alpine could well score themselves, leaving Haas needing an even higher finishing position.
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• Lando Norris 1.07
• Max Verstappen 1.08
• Charles Leclerc, George Russell 1.20
• Carlos Sainz 1.25
• Lewis Hamilton 1.32
• Oscar Piastri 1.35
• Sergio Perez 2.80
• Nico Hulkenberg 7.00
• Pierre Gasly 8.00
• Fernando Alonso, Kevin Magnussen 10.0
• Alex Albon 15.0
• Liam Lawson, Yuki Tsunoda 17.0
• Jack Doohan, Franco Colapinto 23.0
• Lance Stroll 34.0
• Valtteri Bottas 41.0
• Zhou Guanyu 51.0
Hamilton is contesting his last race with Mercedes this weekend
The odds for a points finish
Valtteri Bottas would love to sign off on this part of his F1 career with some points, having failed to score all season. Kevin Magnussen is another bowing out of the sport who would love to finish on a high.
Fernando Alonso did finally return to the points in Qatar after a barren run, but whether Aston Martin can finish in the top 10 on merit remains to be seen – Abu Dhabi isn’t guaranteed to have the same amount of crashes, spins and Safety Cars as Qatar did.
• Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.05
• Carlos Sainz, George Russell 1.06
• Lewis Hamilton, Oscar Piastri 1.07
• Sergio Perez 1.20
• Nico Hulkenberg 1.60
• Pierre Gasly 1.75
• Fernando Alonso, Kevin Magnussen 2.50
• Alex Albon 3.25
• Yuki Tsunoda 3.45
• Liam Lawson 4.35
• Jack Doohan, Franco Colapinto 5.00
• Lance Stroll 6.00
• Valtteri Bottas 11.0
• Zhou Guanyu 13.0
The odds for fastest lap
Will the fastest lap bonus point come into play in deciding the championship? It could well do, so the top teams will be watching those gaps closely on Sunday to see if they can give themselves a free pit stop for some fresh tyres.
They could also try and wrestle it off each other, but it will all depend on the strategists doing some quick maths and working out the championship permutations once the race gets under way.
• Lando Norris 3.50
• Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen 5.00
• Oscar Piastri 7.00
• Carlos Sainz, George Russell 10.0
• Lewis Hamilton 11.0
• Sergio Perez 15.0
• Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg 67.0
• Alex Albon, Fernando Alonso, Liam Lawson, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda 101
• Jack Doohan, Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Zhou Guanyu 151
Ferrari need a strong race in Abu Dhabi if they are to wrest the constructors' title away from McLaren
What are the odds for which team will take the most points?
Interestingly, McLaren are favourites for this one ahead of Red Bull and Ferrari. That is despite the papaya team stating that Qatar was the track in the final triple-header which would suit their car, Abu Dhabi playing more to the strengths of the other two teams.
Mercedes remain an unknown quantity too – they weren’t quick last weekend, but the cooler nighttime conditions here might help them.
• McLaren 2.40
• Red Bull 3.10
• Ferrari 4.30
• Mercedes 4.80
• Alpine, Aston Martin, Haas, RB, Kick Sauber, Williams 301
The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race
There have been some famous Safety Cars here over the years, but will one come into play this weekend? We saw the Safety Car three times in Qatar – with Verstappen managing to nail all three Safety Car restarts for good measure.
• Yes 2.10
• No 1.65
The Safety Car was on show in Qatar - will it make a last appearance of the year in Abu Dhabi?
The odds for a number of classified drivers
Only 15 cars made it to the flag in Qatar, with a slew of incidents across the Grand Prix. No one will want to miss the last chequered flag of the season though in Abu Dhabi, especially the drivers who are moving on at the end of this year.
• Over 17.5 1.25
• Under 17.5 3.75
• Over 18.5 1.90
• Under 18.5 1.80
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The odds for a winning margin
Hamilton chasing down Russell in Las Vegas was exciting, while Verstappen looked more comfortable last weekend with a six-second victory over Leclerc. But how big could the gap be this weekend? The teams are tightly matched, with all of them running older Power Units now that are at the end of their cycles…
• Over 10 seconds 2.50
• Under 5 seconds 2.20
• Between 5 and 10 seconds inclusive 3.75
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