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BETTING GUIDE: Who do the odds favour as F1 heads to Mexico?
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With Formula 1 in the midst of a triple header, the paddock has landed in Mexico for the latest chapter in this thrilling season. The constructors’ championship battle is heating up after Ferrari’s terrific result last time out in Austin – but do the odds favour the Scuderia as they look to repeat that performance, or could McLaren or Red Bull return to their winning ways?
188BET’s odds are presented in decimal form: for every $1 wagered you would win the figure represented by the odds; so, if Verstappen is favourite at 1.50, you would win $1.50 for every dollar bet.
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The odds for the win
After Charles Leclerc netted an emotional third win of the season at the United States Grand Prix, he is now the joint favourite to be victorious in Mexico alongside title contenders Max Verstappen and Lando Norris.
The Dutchman’s Sprint win last weekend has gone some way in increasing his odds of standing on the top step in a Grand Prix as Red Bull continue to iron out their car issues, although his team mate Sergio Perez is far from the favourite on his home turf.
• Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 3.75
• Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri 8.00
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 19.0
• Sergio Perez 41.0
• Fernando Alonso 301
• Alex Albon, Esteban Ocon, Franco Colapinto, Kevin Magnussen, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, Nico Hulkenberg, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601
Leclerc will arrive in Mexico hoping to replicate his victory from Austin
The odds for who will be fastest in qualifying
Norris and Verstappen both took a pole position at the Circuit of the Americas, with the Briton taking the glory in qualifying for the Grand Prix while his rival had the edge in Sprint Qualifying.
The McLaren driver is tipped to repeat this in Mexico and claim his seventh pole of the season, with Leclerc and Verstappen considered the most likely challengers behind him.
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• Lando Norris 3.50
• Charles Leclerc, Max Verstappen 4.00
• Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri 8.00
• Lewis Hamilton 13.0
• George Russell 15.0
• Sergio Perez 26.0
• Fernando Alonso 101
• Alex Albon, Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg 251
• Esteban Ocon, Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, Pierre Gasly, Valtteri Bottas, Yuki Tsunoda, Zhou Guanyu 601
Verstappen has not claimed a pole position since the Austrian Grand Prix in June
The odds for a podium finish
It’s perhaps to be expected that Leclerc, Norris and Verstappen are ranked most likely to achieve a top-three finish this weekend, with Oscar Piastri and Carlos Sainz slotting in as the next favourites.
Last year’s Mexico City Grand Prix saw Verstappen, Lewis Hamilton and Leclerc occupy the podium – the Mercedes driver is now deemed equally as likely to replicate that as George Russell, who last netted a top-three finish in Baku after Sainz and Perez’s late crash.
• Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.40
• Oscar Piastri 2.00
• Carlos Sainz 3.00
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 6.00
• Sergio Perez 13.0
• Fernando Alonso 41.0
• Alex Albon, Nico Hulkenberg 67.0
• Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Yuki Tsunoda 101
• Kevin Magnussen, Liam Lawson 151
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 201
• Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 251
Leclerc was joined on the podium in Austin by Sainz and Verstappen
The odds for a top-six finish
The competition is incredibly tight and small margins can really make a difference this season, so there is always a chance for someone outside of the top four teams to bring in a significant points haul.
Haas had a great weekend in Austin and leapfrogged RB for P6 in the constructors’ standings, but Nico Hulkenberg is behind Fernando Alonso in this category, and the Aston Martin man will be targeting a big result to celebrate his 400th race start.
• Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.10
• Oscar Piastri 1.15
• Carlos Sainz 1.25
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 1.55
• Sergio Perez 2.0
• Fernando Alonso 7.00
• Alex Albon, Nico Hulkenberg 8.00
• Franco Colapinto, Lance Stroll, Yuki Tsunoda 13.0
• Liam Lawson 15.0
• Kevin Magnussen 17.0
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 51.0
• Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 101
Haas are now two points ahead of RB in the constructors' standings
The odds for a points finish
It’s what every team wants, but who could fight for points in Mexico away from the expected frontrunners? Aside from Alonso and Hulkenberg, the Williams duo of Alex Albon and Franco Colapinto are candidates for adding to their tally.
RB newcomer Liam Lawson is another favourite – he crossed the line in P9 on his return to the sport last weekend – as well as his team mate Tsunoda and Aston Martin’s Lance Stroll, who has not scored since Hungary.
• Lando Norris, Max Verstappen 1.06
• Carlos Sainz, Charles Leclerc, Oscar Piastri 1.07
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 1.08
• Sergio Perez 1.12
• Fernando Alonso 1.75
• Nico Hulkenberg 1.85
• Alex Albon 2.30
• Franco Colapinto 2.50
• Yuki Tsunoda 2.75
• Lance Stroll 3.25
• Liam Lawson 3.45
• Kevin Magnussen 3.50
• Esteban Ocon, Pierre Gasly 6.0
• Valtteri Bottas 51.0
• Zhou Guanyu 67.0
Alonso will be celebrating his 400th Grand Prix this weekend
The odds for fastest lap
Ferrari looked like they had the quickest car in Austin, but it was Esteban Ocon who achieved the fastest lap in the Grand Prix, although he finished outside of the top 10.
An extra point will still be awarded for the remainder of the season, with the rule not changing until 2025, so who is the favourite to achieve this feat when every point matters? Leclerc and Norris lead the way, with Verstappen closely following with a gap back to the rest of the field.
• Charles Leclerc, Lando Norris, 3.50
• Max Verstappen 3.75
• Carlos Sainz, Oscar Piastri 11.0
• George Russell, Lewis Hamilton 15.0
• Sergio Perez 21.0
• Fernando Alonso 67.0
• Alex Albon, Franco Colapinto, Kevin Magnussen, Nico Hulkenberg, Yuki Tsunoda 101
• Esteban Ocon, Lance Stroll, Liam Lawson, Pierre Gasly 151
• Valtteri Bottas, Zhou Guanyu 201
Perez will be targeting a strong result at his home race
What are the odds for which team will take the most points?
Coming off the back of their one-two finish at COTA, Ferrari are tipped to build on this momentum and maximise their points haul once again – they now sit just eight points behind Red Bull in the constructors’ standings.
McLaren’s lead over Red Bull is now 40 points and they are marginally behind the Italian team here as the second favourites, with Red Bull just slightly further back.
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• Ferrari 2.55
• McLaren 2.75
• Red Bull 3.25
• Mercedes 10.0
• Aston Martin 126
• Alpine, Haas, Visa Cash App RB, Williams 201
• Sauber 251
The odds for a Safety Car appearing during the race
After a drought of nine races, the Safety Car finally made an appearance in Austin after Hamilton spun out of the race in the early stages. Will it make a return in Mexico?
• Yes 1.65
• No 2.10
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The Safety Car appeared in Austin while Hamilton's W15 was rescued from the gravel
The odds for number of classified drivers
Speaking of Hamilton, the seven-time world champion was the only driver to retire last time out following his spin into the gravel. With just five races left to race with Mercedes, he will be hoping to achieve a much better result in Mexico, perhaps one as strong as his podium finish here last year.
Reliability continues to be a key strength of every team this season, and all will be keen to cross the line once again as the season enters its final stretch.
• Over 17.5 1.25
• Under 17.5 3.75
• Over 18.5 1.90
• Under 18.5 1.80
The odds for the winning margin
We’ve seen both extremes when it comes to winning margins this season, with Norris achieving two victories by over 20 seconds in Zandvoort and Singapore. At the other end of the scale, just half a second separated Russell and Hamilton over the line in Spa, with the latter inheriting the win after his team mate was disqualified.
Could we see another nail-biting fight to the chequered flag, or will someone dominate at the Mexico City Grand Prix?
• Over 10 seconds 2.50
• Between 5 and 10 seconds inclusive 3.25
• Under 5 seconds 2.50
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